bill-swift - January 9, 2013
No big surprises from Vegas this weekend on the NFL lines. The home team is favored in each of the four games. Things get cracking on Saturday with the Ravens traveling to Denver to take on the Broncos. The oddsmakers have the Broncos as an 8.5 point favorite right now and I really can't see that changing much. Joe Flacco is nowhere near as effective on the road as he is at home. He threw for about 900 yards less away from Baltimore, and his completion percentage is nearly 6 points lower. Denver has won 11 straight and Peyton Manning has been surgical and electric.
Saturday night features the Packers at the 49ers. Aaron Rodgers and company have their work cut out for them against that Niners defense, but will Colin Kaepernick withstand the pressure of playoff football? Vegas has SF as a three point favorite right now, and I could see that number coming down to 2.5 maybe even 2.
The early game on Sunday has Seattle visiting Atlanta. The Falcons' postseason struggles are obviously in the oddsmakers heads because they are only a 2.5 favorite. Seattle is making believers out of a lot of people behind rookie Russell Wilson. This is the game I can't wait to watch this weekend.
The afternoon game is Houston at New England. Tom Brady and the Pats beat the snot out of the Texans 42-14 in a Monday night game just a few weeks ago. That's probably why the Patriots are the weekend's biggest favorites right now at 9.5 points. Also because Houston was lucky to beat Cincinnati last weekend. Houston fans should be pretty nervous right now.